We Nailed It!

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Date: Tuesday, January 9th, 2007, 20:22
Category: iPhone

I think we pretty much nailed the keynote more than 24 hours before it happened, so I’ve got enough rope to hang myself here at the PowerPage:
The iPhone, as presented in the keynote address at Macworld Expo 2007, just makes it into the realm of the barely possible, much like the original Macintosh. Barely enough memory, barely enough battery, barely enough screen, barely enough processor power, priced just a bit too high and almost too small. The original iPod was like this. Just 5GB because of the tiny drive, only working with Firewire Macs, not as small as contemporary flash based players and the most expensive MP3 player made. They eventually turned that big old 1G iPod into the 1G nano as the price slowly fell, the product shrunk and the feature set expanded over a five year stretch. Just look at how the sweetest Apple products manage to mature as the technology opens up without ever pushing the price too low.
They could not have done this phone any sooner and pulled it off. It is ground breaking in a way that integrates everything mobile computing has to offer. This product is a home run and they only want to sell 10 million of them to start, one percent of the market. Mark my words, in five years, the iPhone will come to define hottest segment of the personal computer market. The iPhone is first and foremost a wireless connected computer running a mobile version of OS X that supports iLife software. Eventually, it will also support iWork and become a full fledged connected PC.
Without some additional iLife software running on Windows, the iPhone could be a disappointment to many of the Cingular subscribers who will line up to buy it, so I think my prediction of an expansion of iLife for Windows is going to pan out before the iPhone ships in June. At least a version of iPhoto, as this could help widen the audience for Apple TV. As hot as Apple is right now, consumer electronic devices need to sell to a market that is much larger than just Mac users. Secrecy can really hamper product testing, so I hope all the bugs are worked out before the iPhone goes into production. Waiting until June to ship this phone seems about right. No need to repeat the Apple III.
Leopard was not featured in the keynote, so no surprise features were announced. I still think that something big is going to be slipped into OS 10.5 before it ships.


I think we pretty much nailed the keynote more than 24 hours before it happened, so I’ve got enough rope to hang myself here at the PowerPage:
The iPhone, as presented in the keynote address at Macworld Expo 2007, just makes it into the realm of the barely possible, much like the original Macintosh. Barely enough memory, barely enough battery, barely enough screen, barely enough processor power, priced just a bit too high and almost too small. The original iPod was like this. Just 5GB because of the tiny drive, only working with Firewire Macs, not as small as contemporary flash based players and the most expensive MP3 player made. They eventually turned that big old 1G iPod into the 1G nano as the price slowly fell, the product shrunk and the feature set expanded over a five year stretch. Just look at how the sweetest Apple products manage to mature as the technology opens up without ever pushing the price too low.
They could not have done this phone any sooner and pulled it off. It is ground breaking in a way that integrates everything mobile computing has to offer. This product is a home run and they only want to sell 10 million of them to start, one percent of the market. Mark my words, in five years, the iPhone will come to define hottest segment of the personal computer market. The iPhone is first and foremost a wireless connected computer running a mobile version of OS X that supports iLife software. Eventually, it will also support iWork and become a full fledged connected PC.
Without some additional iLife software running on Windows, the iPhone could be a disappointment to many of the Cingular subscribers who will line up to buy it, so I think my prediction of an expansion of iLife for Windows is going to pan out before the iPhone ships in June. At least a version of iPhoto, as this could help widen the audience for Apple TV. As hot as Apple is right now, consumer electronic devices need to sell to a market that is much larger than just Mac users. Secrecy can really hamper product testing, so I hope all the bugs are worked out before the iPhone goes into production. Waiting until June to ship this phone seems about right. No need to repeat the Apple III.
Leopard was not featured in the keynote, so no surprise features were announced. I still think that something big is going to be slipped into OS 10.5 before it ships.

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